Story no.78OngoingPolitics +1NotableVar +524 Oct → 4 Nov112 facts · 202 art.

2027 presidential election: Le Pen and Mélenchon lead in polls, Philippe's support crumbles

On 3 November 2026, several analyses and polls devoted to the 2027 presidential election appear, comparing Marine Le Pen's and Jean-Luc Mélenchon's visions of Europe and highlighting the difficulties of the centrist bloc and the right in finding a candidate against a possible RN-LFI runoff. The same day, Senator Pierre-Jean Rochette leaves the Les Indépendants group to join the non-attached members, while an LCI-Ifop poll places Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon qualified for the runoff in all hypotheses tested. The day is also marked by the controversy over racism accusations against Édouard Philippe after his appearance on TF1's 8 p.m. news, Jean-Luc Mélenchon cancelling his appearance on the channel, and Jordan Bardella's invitation to TF1's 8 p.m. news followed by the cancellation of his participation in a debate in Saint-Raphaël. On 4 November, a profile describes Édouard Philippe as still the favorite in his camp but facing erosion of his position, and a new Ifop poll for LCI confirms Marine Le Pen's lead, Jean-Luc Mélenchon in second place, Raphaël Glucksmann's decline, and David Lisnard's progress.

In brief

Ongoing story bringing together 112 events nationwide, followed from 24 October 2026 to 4 November 2026. 202 articles from 41 sources (politics, society); last updated on 4 November 2026 at 08:50.

Who is covering it, and from what angle

Method

29Left16 %

110Centre59 %

47Right25 %

186 articles of rated outlets · 16 unrated outside the bar · 41 sources (202 art.) · the three sides talk about it · outlets: left 5, centre 19, right 10

Angle comparison for the whole story

The three sides cover the same Ifop-LCI poll placing Le Pen and Mélenchon in the runoff, but diverge on the angle: the left emphasizes Mélenchon's momentum and the Philippe-TF1 controversy, the center focuses on the announced runoff and the centrist bloc's difficulties, the right stresses Le Pen's lead and the crumbling of Philippe's camp.

Left

Highlights Mélenchon's progress, the controversy over Édouard Philippe's remarks on immigration and his cancellation of his TF1 appearance, as well as Fabien Roussel's campaign and the role of social mobilizations.

Centre

Stresses the Le Pen-Mélenchon runoff in all scenarios, Glucksmann's decline, Lisnard's progress, and the centrist bloc's difficulties in organizing itself, particularly around Philippe and the Saint-Raphaël Meetings.

Right

Insists on Marine Le Pen's lead, Lisnard's progress, Glucksmann's decline, and the centrist bloc's "collapse," while recalling that polls six months out are not always predictive.

Written by an AI from headlines and extracts only of all events in the story · 4 Nov, 09h22

What is established

Method

Confirmed by several sources(4)

5
An Ifop poll for LCI places Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon qualified for the runoff in all hypotheses tested.
5 independent sourcesTF1 Info / LCI, Le Dauphiné libéré, L'Est Républicain, Le Progrès, Le Bien Public +3
3
Jean-Luc Mélenchon announces cancelling his appearance on TF1's 8 p.m. news and accuses Édouard Philippe of having delivered a "disgusting speech" on immigration.
3 independent sourcesFdesouche, Le Monde, BFMTV / RMC
2
Gérald Darmanin declares that Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Marine Le Pen "will kill Europe" if they win the presidential election.
2 independent sourcesSud Ouest, franceinfo
2
Fabien Roussel presents eight spokespersons and announces a meeting on 6 December in Avion, the day after Jean-Luc Mélenchon's meeting in Le Havre.
2 independent sourcesL'Humanité, Le Parisien

Sources disagree(1)

Cancellation of Jean-Luc Mélenchon's appearance on TF1's 8 p.m. news
- Mélenchon announces cancelling his appearance in reaction to Édouard Philippe's remarksaccording to Fdesouche, Le Monde, BFMTV / RMC
- TF1 claims the appearance had already been cancelled before the announcementaccording to Le Monde

Single source so far(6)

TF1 states that Jean-Luc Mélenchon's appearance on the 8 p.m. news had already been cancelled by the end of the previous week. (according to Le Monde)
Jordan Bardella is TF1's 8 p.m. news guest on 3 November. (according to TF1 Info / LCI)
Jordan Bardella cancels his participation in a debate at the Future Meetings in Saint-Raphaël, citing a "scheduling problem." (according to Nice-Matin)
Édouard Philippe defends a "virtuous system in terms of integration" before personal services workers. (according to BFMTV / RMC)

Updates(2)

3 Nov, 21h59TF1 denies a cancellation in reaction: Mélenchon's appearance had already been cancelled late last week.
3 Nov, 17h03Dominique de Villepin goes from "not yet a candidate" to "will indeed be a candidate" on 3 November, without immediate officialization.

AI cross-check of the headlines and extracts of 60 articles (32 outlets) · “confirmed” = reported by at least two independent outlets · 4 Nov, 07h21

Timeline

newest first

Outlets:LeftCentreRightUncategorised· badge = severity

In figures

The activity

112 faits

Latest activity 1 hour ago

1 2 3 9 9 11 6 9 9 24 27 2

24 Oct4 Nov

Affected departments

National

Reported toll

No numeric assessment in the articles.