Story no.78OngoingPolitics +1NotableVar +524 Oct → 4 Nov115 facts · 208 art.

2027 presidential election: campaign, candidacies and polls

On November 3, 2026, the central bloc and the right are struggling to find a candidate against a possible RN-LFI runoff, while the RN is gaining ground among young voters. Senator Pierre-Jean Rochette leaves the Les Indépendants group so as not to appear affiliated with Édouard Philippe, and some voters are considering using AI to choose their candidate. Édouard Philippe, declining in the polls, is at the center of the debate over a primary; after his appearance on TF1's 8 p.m. news, Jean-Luc Mélenchon denounces his speech and cancels his appearance on the channel. An Ifop poll for LCI places Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon in the runoff in all scenarios, then Jordan Bardella is invited to TF1's 8 p.m. news and cancels his participation in a debate in Saint-Raphaël. On November 4, Édouard Philippe defends his vision of integration, a profile highlights the erosion of his position, and a new poll confirms Marine Le Pen's lead, David Lisnard's rise, and Raphaël Glucksmann's decline.

In brief

Ongoing story bringing together 115 events nationwide, followed from 24 October 2026 to 4 November 2026. 208 articles from 42 sources (politics, society); last updated on 4 November 2026 at 10:31.

Who is covering it, and from what angle

Method

32Left17 %

111Centre58 %

49Right26 %

192 articles of rated outlets · 16 unrated outside the bar · 42 sources (208 art.) · the three sides talk about it · outlets: left 6, centre 19, right 10

Angle comparison for the whole story

The three sides cover the same Ifop-LCI poll placing Le Pen and Mélenchon in the runoff, but diverge on the angle: the left emphasizes the Mélenchon dynamic and the Philippe-TF1 controversy, the center focuses on the announced runoff and the central bloc's difficulties, the right on Le Pen's lead and the crumbling of Philippe's camp.

Left

Highlights Mélenchon's rise, the controversy over Édouard Philippe's remarks on immigration and his cancellation of his TF1 appearance, as well as Fabien Roussel's campaign and the role of social mobilizations.

Centre

Emphasizes the Le Pen-Mélenchon runoff in all scenarios, Glucksmann's decline, Lisnard's rise, and the central bloc's difficulties in organizing itself, particularly around Philippe and the Saint-Raphaël meetings.

Right

Stresses Marine Le Pen's lead, Lisnard's rise, Glucksmann's decline, and the "collapse" of the central bloc, while recalling that polls six months out are not always predictive.

Written by an AI from headlines and extracts only of all events in the story · 4 Nov, 09h22

What is established

Method

Confirmed by several sources(4)

5
An Ifop poll for LCI places Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon qualified for the runoff in all scenarios tested.
5 independent sourcesTF1 Info / LCI, Le Dauphiné libéré, L'Est Républicain, Le Progrès, Le Bien Public +3
3
Jean-Luc Mélenchon announces he is canceling his appearance on TF1's 8 p.m. news and accuses Édouard Philippe of having delivered a "disgusting speech" on immigration.
3 independent sourcesFdesouche, Le Monde, BFMTV / RMC
2
Gérald Darmanin states that Jean-Luc Mélenchon and Marine Le Pen will "kill Europe" if they win the presidential election.
2 independent sourcesSud Ouest, franceinfo
2
Fabien Roussel presents eight spokespersons and announces a rally on December 6 in Avion, the day after Jean-Luc Mélenchon's rally in Le Havre.
2 independent sourcesL'Humanité, Le Parisien

Sources disagree(1)

Cancellation of Jean-Luc Mélenchon's appearance on TF1's 8 p.m. news
- Mélenchon announces he is canceling his appearance in reaction to Édouard Philippe's remarksaccording to Fdesouche, Le Monde, BFMTV / RMC
- TF1 states that the appearance had already been canceled before the announcementaccording to Le Monde

Single source so far(6)

TF1 states that Jean-Luc Mélenchon's appearance on the 8 p.m. news had already been canceled since the end of the previous week. (according to Le Monde)
Jordan Bardella is the guest on TF1's 8 p.m. news on November 3. (according to TF1 Info / LCI)
Jordan Bardella cancels his participation in a debate at the Rencontres de l'avenir in Saint-Raphaël, citing a "scheduling problem". (according to Nice-Matin)
Édouard Philippe defends a "virtuous system in terms of integration" before personal services. (according to BFMTV / RMC)

Updates(2)

3 Nov, 21h59TF1 denies a reactive cancellation: Mélenchon's appearance had already been canceled at the end of the week.
3 Nov, 17h03Dominique de Villepin goes from "not yet a candidate" to "will indeed be a candidate" on November 3, without immediate officialization.

AI cross-check of the headlines and extracts of 60 articles (32 outlets) · “confirmed” = reported by at least two independent outlets · 4 Nov, 07h21

Timeline

newest first

Outlets:LeftCentreRightUncategorised· badge = severity

In figures

The activity

115 faits

Latest activity 46 minutes ago

1 2 3 10 10 11 6 9 9 24 27 3

24 Oct4 Nov

Affected departments

National

Reported toll

No numeric assessment in the articles.